Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.189870 1.350140 1.524923 1.729831 1.963671 2.222439 2.530828
2026-01-11 0.955728 1.176290 1.437810 1.771436 2.186753 2.688064 3.341113
2026-01-18 0.810555 1.054849 1.361675 1.776705 2.325643 3.029870 4.006783
2026-01-25 0.697806 0.949901 1.281603 1.752137 2.406032 3.287853 4.576162
2026-02-01 0.606779 0.858380 1.202892 1.712010 2.450386 3.490169 5.079338
2026-02-08 0.534693 0.782621 1.134323 1.673358 2.485517 3.674433 5.566817
2026-02-15 0.490157 0.740296 1.106894 1.688024 2.595149 3.971890 6.247925
2026-02-22 0.447087 0.694876 1.069025 1.680760 2.667266 4.215182 6.865645
2026-03-01 0.406769 0.649166 1.025404 1.658456 2.710708 4.413829 7.427354
2026-03-08 0.363554 0.594448 0.962020 1.597041 2.682456 4.490403 7.788308
2026-03-15 0.336757 0.563732 0.934052 1.590462 2.743397 4.718417 8.430176
2026-03-22 0.327090 0.560492 0.950713 1.660340 2.941113 5.197602 9.567308
2026-03-29 0.298699 0.525211 0.914280 1.642172 2.996200 5.457493 10.385938
2026-04-05 0.281590 0.508557 0.909498 1.682108 3.165389 5.951341 11.729406
2026-04-12 0.261374 0.483952 0.887557 1.687089 3.268103 6.330327 12.895203
2026-04-19 0.239707 0.454301 0.853077 1.663814 3.312221 6.598948 13.869455
2026-04-26 0.218672 0.423655 0.813496 1.625797 3.321600 6.797472 14.719855
2026-05-03 0.200112 0.395948 0.776749 1.589174 3.328914 6.991053 15.582975
2026-05-10 0.188930 0.381798 0.765273 1.603070 3.443710 7.423842 17.039458
2026-05-17 0.176663 0.364220 0.745090 1.596188 3.512232 7.763079 18.324612
2026-05-24 0.164185 0.345000 0.719639 1.575054 3.546299 8.028501 19.468934
2026-05-31 0.149564 0.319869 0.679379 1.516859 3.489176 8.077887 20.088955
2026-06-07 0.140681 0.306359 0.662865 1.510624 3.552339 8.416280 21.483802